Rosey's Outlook


by J.D. Rosendahl

Monday, October 10, 2011

Stock Charts: Big Columbus Day Rally

$SPX 15 Minute:  Price had a big day moving higher and testing minor resistance.



$SPX 60 Minute:  This time frame offers a little better perspective for an end to wave 1 or A up.  We have cluster resistance up to 1,206ish.  Look for the BBs to pinch and the MACD to roll with price if we are ready for wave 2 or B down. 




$SPX Daily:  Market is pushing higher nicely off of a strong divergent bottom.  On the daily chart we have cluster resistance at 1,225-30ish, if we need to push past 1,206.



IBM: A big break out on Big Blue.  A reversal here would be concerning for IBM and the market, so let's see if IBM can continue to push up or not this week.



AAPL:  A huge point gain today.  Seems like we want to test the trend line above.  If it can climb back above that, that would be bullish. 



$VIX:  Do we get a test of the support line on this when the market finishes wave 1 or A up?



My Watch List:  3 big names.  All 3 look solid, and I like the idea of staying with big easy names.

MON:  Currently my favorite long side trading vehicle.  We scalped a gain on this today.  Price is moving straight up and impulsive.  Over head resistance seems likely.



UNP:  Stock is still pushing higher out of an ending diagonal built on strong divergences.



COP:  A break above the down trend line with divergences in place.



From My Trading Desk:  A day like today is a tough day because it's a low volume vacation day with price up very big.  We did scalp a gain on MON, but I'm not interested in chasing the market on a day like this.

The markets could easily push a little highly based on the 60 minute and daily chart resistance levels, but at some point in the near future we should see a weave 2 or B pull back.  In that light, I'm going to keep the long side trading small. 

If we get the wave 2 or B pull back, then I think there's a great set up for the long side trade.

Happy Trading.

J.D. Rosendahl, Rosey