Rosey's Outlook


by J.D. Rosendahl

Sunday, May 15, 2011

Stock Charts:

$SPX 15 Minute:  A little wedge pattern is almost finished.  We should see this resolve and break out next week.  If it's lower, then we should close the gap below.




$SPX 60 Minute:  The wedge has built right on top of two crossing support lines.  Again, we should see this resolve itself next week.



$SPX Daily:  If the wedge breaks down I like the idea of price sliding down to the lower channel line.




IBM:  IBM is struggling to continue higher!




JNK:  Price is trying to roll over, the only thing missing is follow through.



$VIX:  Still stuck between support and resistance.



XLF:  The financial sector reflects a larger wedge pattern with a little break down trying to develop.  There's plenty of room for this to slide next week and could lead the greater market.



$WTIC:  Oil is still bouncing at the first support zone.  While we could bounce to the 50 day MA, the ending diagonal calls for lower pricing.  I like the second support line.




$Silver:  Price still holding support.  If we get below the trend line the 200 day MA is the next stop.




$USD:  Dollar is trying to push past a prior low with divergences in place.  The down trend line seems like a likely target near term.




My Watch List:

DVN:  Price is declining out of an H&S top.  The price target should take price down to the 200 day MA.



COG:  Price is still holding a support and a trend line.  If price break that selling pressure could increase.




GORO:  A little H&S top pattern right on top of a trend line.  Price holding firm but a break down could bring selling pressure.




COH:  Divergences building but price and the MACD have yet to really break down.



MU:  Probably not a wedge pattern, but the next most likely count is an ABC.  Still not a buy yet but worth watching.



UHAL:  Still grinding sideways.  Pattern is unfinished.  I like a finish around the support line.  Not a buy yet, but a sideways pattern is worth the watch too.




KSS: Stock bounded a little last week but stalled right at the down trend line.  It's a better buy above that.



From My Trading Desk:  Since Google's blogger was down late last week I haven't been able to post my blog for a couple days.  On Thursday we took gains by closing shorts on DVN, COP and GORO.  We bought KSS.  Friday we sold KSS and took a small short on COH.  Still keeping it simple during this little wedge on the intraday.

Next Week's Game Plan:  This one's easy, it's time to watch what happens on the intraday wedge of the market.  It should resolve itself early in next week.

Happy Trading.

J.D. Rosendahl, Rosey